OK, welcome to 2010 everybody! Sorry about the infrequency of posts lately, but I took the holidays off to an extent. However, my millions (read: dozens) of readers can expect some return to normalcy now that the year is properly under way.
First on my plate of discussion for the new decade? The aftermath of the botch terror attacks on Christmas Day. People were upset and people were scared, and both were reasonable reactions. But as the dust has settled, the fear and anger have given way to people trying to figure out who to blame. In the days since the attack has occured, an Al Qaeda group in Yemen took responsability for the attack, and more importantly we have learned that the would be bomber, Umar Farouk AbdulMutallab, was actually on a watch list. This is problematic because despite this, he was not on a no-fly list, which is why he was able to board a flight with an explosive device hidden in his underwear.
As you’ll find in this article on CNN, the President is putting on a face of outrage over the issue. He admits that there were signs pointing to the fact that the man was dangerous, but that the pieces of the puzzle were not put properly together, and that such failures are unacceptable. See the following;
U.S. intelligence had uncovered numerous “red flags” before the attack, Obama said at the White House, but failed to put the information together.
“The U.S. government had sufficient information to have uncovered this plot and potentially disrupt the Christmas Day attack, but our intelligence community failed to connect those dots, which would have placed the suspect on the no-fly list,” Obama said.
“In other words, this was not a failure to collect intelligence; it was a failure to integrate and understand the intelligence that we already had,” the president said. “The information was there, agencies and analysts who needed it had access to it, and our professionals were trained to look for it and to bring it all together.”
Obama said he could accept the imperfect nature of intelligence work, “but it is increasingly clear that intelligence was not fully analyzed or fully leveraged,” he said, adding: “That’s not acceptable, and I will not tolerate it.”
Now, this is all well and good, the President should be fired up, it was a slip of monumental proportions. In fact, were this not the king of all screw-ups, we would be instead talking about a whole bunch of groups Americans, and not a close call. However, I can’t help but find this whole situation a bit reminiscent of reports that George W. Bush received about a certain Al Qaeda plot to hijack planes and fly them into buildings. Believe me, that’s not a comparison that I want to make. So why shouldn’t we say that this is Barack’s fault? What makes this different from W’s dropping the ball? Glad you asked, there are a couple of reasons.
The first factor is blind luck. Umar Farouk AbdulMutallab couldn’t pull it off, so everybody on that plane, and yes, the President himself, got incredibly lucky. We caught him and nobody was killed. Like I said earlier, had that plane blown up or crashed, we would be having a very different conversation in this country. Whether it’s fair or not, the fact that everybody is safe gives the President a bit of a pass when compared to the 2,000 people who died after the Bush oversight.
The second way in which President Obama can recover from this is by reacting in the right way. Don’t bemoan the evil of our attackers, urinate on our civil rights, and then invade the wrong country. Instead, President Obama needs to hold the proper people accountable and implement changes to our intelligence and security procedures. The President may not be to blame for the lapses in intelligence, but the buck is ultimately going to stop with him, so he needs to get the response right. So far he is saying the right things;
Obama said he ordered his national security team to complete preliminary reviews of the situation this week so that suggested reforms can be implemented right way.
“Time and again we’ve learned that quickly piecing together information and taking swift action is critical to staying one step ahead of a nimble adversary,” Obama said. “So we have to do better, and we will do better, and we have to do it quickly. American lives are on the line.”
Obama reiterated, however, his intention to close the detention facility at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba.
“We will close Guantanamo prison, which has damaged our national security interests and become a tremendous recruiting tool for al Qaeda,” Obama said. “In fact, that was an explicit rationale for the formation of al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula.”
Something that I can gravitate to, in a positive way, is towards the end of that passage, where the President indicates that he has no intention of backing off his plans to close Guantanamo, because keeping it open would be morally wrong without making us any safer. However, if I were advising him (and there’s no good reason that I would be) I would caution that swift action isn’t always effective action. We have been trying to improve airport security for a long time, and have had limited success in doing so, at best. Right now the President needs to exhibit the same resolve and determination to properly asses the situation that he has already shown he possesses.
Ultimately, while it’s a welcome break from what we had previously become accustomed to, simply not doing the wrong thing isn’t enough. Americans also want to see President Obama make some changes that will actually make us safer. I truly believe that he is capable of delivering. But in order to see it happen, Americans need to hold him accountable in the same way that we would a certain former (and lessor) world leader. I guess what I’m trying to say is this; Mr President, the ball’s in your court.
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